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Red10
580322.6
189910.7
568316.3
Blue52
339331.1
593913.4
582712.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61562040801001052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5803
#24
22.627.3
37.510.2
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End4.4
blue by 8.6
3393
#13
31.10.9
24.223.2
Auto7.9
Teleop18.8
End4.3
Second
5683
#22
16.35.4
21.716.3
Auto6.7
Teleop8.4
End1.2
red by 2.9
5939
#39
13.46.2
20.914.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End1.4
Third
1899
#38
10.75.4
21.315.9
Auto2.0
Teleop6.1
End2.5
blue by 2.1
5827
#34
12.85.8
20.514.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed