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Red75
322315.6
378723.0
292917.4
Blue37
189910.7
323710.5
255517.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51340204060801007537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3787
#15
23.02.5
19.622.1
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End4.0
red by 5.9
2555
#37
17.10.3
16.716.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End1.1
Second
2929
#30
17.42.5
16.418.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End3.0
red by 6.8
1899
#38
10.70.3
10.510.2
Auto2.0
Teleop6.1
End2.5
Third
3223
#29
15.62.5
10.813.3
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End3.0
red by 5.1
3237
#28
10.50.3
8.78.4
Auto1.0
Teleop8.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
13%Breach oddsEarned16%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed