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Red5
322315.6
491816.3
52959.8
Blue66
339331.1
593722.0
252228.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39700206080100120140566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4918
#36
16.34.1
15.711.6
Auto1.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
blue by 14.9
3393
#13
31.10.3
23.223.6
Auto7.9
Teleop18.8
End4.3
Second
3223
#29
15.64.1
15.110.9
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End3.0
blue by 12.5
2522
#12
28.20.3
25.425.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End3.1
Third
5295
#35
9.84.1
11.47.3
Auto0.3
Teleop8.3
End1.3
blue by 12.1
5937
#25
22.00.3
14.614.9
Auto10.4
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed