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Red130
323839.1
198341.4
378615.2
Blue98
339331.1
366333.0
322315.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125935015020013098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.0
41.941.8
Auto9.6
Teleop20.8
End11.0
red by 8.5
33.00.0
33.033.0
Auto7.4
Teleop20.4
End5.1
Second
39.10.0
39.539.5
Auto8.5
Teleop25.3
End5.3
red by 8.0
3393
#13
31.10.0
31.231.1
Auto7.9
Teleop18.8
End4.3
Third
3786
#32
15.20.0
15.715.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End2.8
blue by 0.4
3223
#29
15.60.0
15.715.6
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End3.0