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Red44
322016.7
449515.0
358825.9
Blue92
406139.5
131831.8
460821.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458702060801001204492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3588
#16
25.90.7
24.123.4
Auto8.9
Teleop13.2
End3.8
blue by 13.6
39.50.6
36.236.8
Auto10.0
Teleop22.4
End7.2
Second
3220
#31
16.70.4
15.314.9
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End0.8
blue by 15.1
1318
#17
31.80.6
24.024.6
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End4.4
Third
4495
#36
15.00.4
10.810.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 6.9
4608
#24
21.90.6
17.718.3
Auto4.1
Teleop14.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
13%Breach oddsMissed92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed