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Red71
592031.5
408217.2
214821.6
Blue74
607616.2
292626.9
48826.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606102040801001201401607174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.8
28.128.9
Auto9.0
Teleop18.1
End4.3
red by 4.5
2926
#19
26.91.0
19.420.4
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End7.1
Second
2148
#28
21.60.8
17.718.5
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End2.6
blue by 4.8
488
#23
26.41.0
24.825.8
Auto9.3
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Third
4082
#29
17.20.8
12.613.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.2
End3.1
red by 0.9
6076
#32
16.21.0
14.915.9
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed