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Red74
292325.6
445040.7
449515.0
Blue21
371221.5
41207.9
408217.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72320204060801001207421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.7
31.231.9
Auto6.6
Teleop26.6
End7.5
red by 19.2
3712
#27
21.51.1
15.614.5
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Second
25.60.7
22.323.0
Auto9.6
Teleop10.8
End5.1
red by 8.4
4082
#29
17.21.1
13.512.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.2
End3.1
Third
4495
#36
15.00.7
10.411.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End1.7
red by 7.0
4120
#37
7.91.1
8.06.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsMissed10%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed