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Red81
369315.4
592031.5
198340.7
Blue77
293032.5
214922.9
580325.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84722040601001201408177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.3
40.840.5
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.7
red by 8.3
32.50.3
31.531.8
Auto9.4
Teleop18.7
End4.3
Second
31.50.3
28.928.6
Auto9.0
Teleop18.1
End4.3
red by 6.3
5803
#22
25.20.3
22.522.8
Auto2.9
Teleop15.7
End6.6
Third
3693
#33
15.40.3
10.410.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.9
End4.1
blue by 7.5
2149
#20
22.90.3
18.118.4
Auto9.3
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed