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Red40
41045.4
412524.0
38768.4
Blue69
472629.8
255733.9
51118.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237104060801001204069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#21
24.00.7
17.117.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End3.0
blue by 9.9
2557
#11
33.90.4
28.629.0
Auto4.6
Teleop22.0
End7.3
Second
3876
#38
8.40.7
7.07.7
Auto0.4
Teleop7.7
End0.3
blue by 21.4
29.80.4
26.026.4
Auto8.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
Third
4104
#34
5.40.7
5.76.4
Auto0.7
Teleop4.3
End0.4
blue by 3.5
5111
#39
8.90.4
7.78.2
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
7%Breach oddsMissed52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed