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Red78
406139.5
214821.6
322016.7
Blue87
292626.9
292325.6
159530.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73693040506080901001107887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.5
36.837.3
Auto10.0
Teleop22.4
End7.2
red by 9.1
1595
#14
30.41.0
24.025.0
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End5.1
Second
2148
#28
21.60.5
18.519.0
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End2.6
blue by 5.3
2926
#19
26.91.0
20.421.4
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End7.1
Third
3220
#31
16.70.5
14.915.4
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End0.8
blue by 8.9
25.61.0
23.024.0
Auto9.6
Teleop10.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed