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Red42
214922.9
51118.9
48826.4
Blue110
255733.9
214730.3
445040.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45103020608012014016042110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#23
26.40.7
26.025.3
Auto9.3
Teleop14.7
End2.4
blue by 14.3
40.71.2
32.834.1
Auto6.6
Teleop26.6
End7.5
Second
2149
#20
22.90.7
18.417.7
Auto9.3
Teleop10.8
End2.8
blue by 11.0
2557
#11
33.91.2
29.030.2
Auto4.6
Teleop22.0
End7.3
Third
5111
#39
8.90.7
8.27.5
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End1.6
blue by 21.4
2147
#10
30.31.2
29.831.0
Auto8.7
Teleop15.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsMissed90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed