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Red52
41207.9
125831.3
358825.9
Blue84
293032.5
214730.3
592031.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions571052040801201401605284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.7
28.327.6
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End7.6
blue by 1.2
32.50.7
32.231.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.7
End4.3
Second
3588
#16
25.91.2
26.124.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.2
End3.8
blue by 5.5
31.50.7
30.429.7
Auto9.0
Teleop18.1
End4.3
Third
4120
#37
7.90.7
8.27.5
Auto1.7
Teleop5.1
End1.1
blue by 22.4
2147
#10
30.30.7
32.031.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed