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Red86
255733.9
292626.9
378918.8
Blue91
451326.2
472629.8
612914.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68730501001508691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#11
33.91.3
30.832.1
Auto4.6
Teleop22.0
End7.3
red by 4.1
29.81.0
26.427.5
Auto8.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
Second
2926
#19
26.91.3
22.623.9
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End7.1
red by 0.7
4513
#25
26.21.0
25.927.0
Auto9.7
Teleop13.2
End3.3
Third
3789
#18
18.81.3
13.414.7
Auto0.8
Teleop14.9
End3.1
red by 4.1
6129
#30
14.81.0
18.119.1
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed