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Red77
159530.4
612914.8
498028.9
Blue92
294425.1
445040.7
378918.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71822040601001201407792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#14
30.40.4
27.728.1
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End5.1
blue by 10.3
40.70.9
39.039.9
Auto6.6
Teleop26.6
End7.5
Second
4980
#13
28.90.4
26.126.5
Auto7.9
Teleop12.8
End8.2
red by 3.8
2944
#26
25.10.9
24.025.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End4.0
Third
6129
#30
14.80.4
17.117.5
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End1.6
blue by 4.1
3789
#18
18.80.9
14.915.9
Auto0.8
Teleop14.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed