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Red82
198340.7
38768.4
498028.9
Blue60
322016.7
451326.2
580325.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807240601001208260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.4
40.340.7
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.7
red by 14.5
4513
#25
26.20.7
27.226.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.2
End3.3
Second
4980
#13
28.90.4
27.828.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.8
End8.2
red by 3.7
5803
#22
25.20.7
26.225.5
Auto2.9
Teleop15.7
End6.6
Third
3876
#38
8.40.4
8.18.4
Auto0.4
Teleop7.7
End0.3
blue by 8.2
3220
#31
16.70.7
17.416.7
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed