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Red59
357513.5
369315.4
214922.9
Blue100
131831.8
371221.5
159530.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458720608010012014059100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2149
#20
22.90.6
22.322.9
Auto9.3
Teleop10.8
End2.8
blue by 8.9
1318
#17
31.81.4
29.330.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End4.4
Second
3693
#33
15.40.6
14.815.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.9
End4.1
blue by 15.0
1595
#14
30.41.4
29.030.4
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End5.1
Third
3575
#35
13.50.6
12.913.5
Auto1.8
Teleop9.2
End2.5
blue by 8.0
3712
#27
21.51.4
20.121.5
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned