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Red160
406139.5
198340.7
214922.9
Blue101
498028.9
472629.8
412524.0
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13292406080100120140160180160101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.2
40.440.6
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.7
red by 10.9
29.80.0
29.629.5
Auto8.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
Second
39.50.2
39.239.4
Auto10.0
Teleop22.4
End7.2
red by 10.7
4980
#13
28.90.0
28.628.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.8
End8.2
Third
2149
#20
22.90.2
22.622.8
Auto9.3
Teleop10.8
End2.8
blue by 1.1
4125
#21
24.00.0
23.823.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End3.0