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Red126
131842.1
198342.2
36049.5
Blue106
252234.4
357434.7
241229.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1891200100300400126106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#27
49.50.0
49.549.5
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End5.8
red by 14.7
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
Second
42.20.0
42.242.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
red by 7.8
2522
#22
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Third
42.10.0
42.142.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End4.6
red by 12.9
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4