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Red118
49221.8
366344.5
198342.2
Blue91
580336.8
293031.2
358833.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131035015020011891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#20
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto8.5
Teleop31.0
End5.0
red by 7.8
36.80.0
36.836.8
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End11.1
Second
42.20.0
42.242.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
red by 8.4
3588
#31
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.1
End5.5
Third
492
#24
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto2.6
Teleop16.3
End2.9
blue by 9.4
2930
#30
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
21%Capture odds13%Capture odds