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Red86
491528.6
290731.7
241229.3
Blue43
406029.3
255745.4
358833.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881160501502002503008643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#10
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6
blue by 13.7
2557
#12
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
Second
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
blue by 4.5
3588
#31
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.1
End5.5
Third
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End3.4
blue by 0.7
4060
#17
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
10%Capture odds3%Capture odds