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Red57
292831.3
290731.7
366344.5
Blue84
241229.3
413137.8
323845.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101170501502002503003504005784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#20
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto8.5
Teleop31.0
End5.0
blue by 0.9
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
Second
2907
#10
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6
blue by 6.1
4131
#18
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto8.2
Teleop23.4
End6.1
Third
2928
#13
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
red by 2.1
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
55%Capture odds19%Capture odds