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Red79
252234.4
297623.0
357434.7
Blue90
255745.4
198342.2
407722.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911180501502002503003507990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
blue by 10.6
2557
#12
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
Second
2522
#22
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
blue by 7.8
42.20.0
42.242.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
Third
2976
#25
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto4.6
Teleop15.2
End3.2
red by 0.1
4077
#16
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
18%Capture odds11%Capture odds