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Red70
94831.3
198342.2
446119.8
Blue79
445032.9
407722.9
491528.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98850501502007079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.0
42.242.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
red by 9.3
4450
#23
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
Second
948
#21
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
red by 2.7
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End3.4
Third
4461
#28
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6
blue by 3.1
4077
#16
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds4%Capture odds