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Red89
413137.8
406029.3
491528.6
Blue81
357434.7
446119.8
293031.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101860501502002508981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#18
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto8.2
Teleop23.4
End6.1
red by 3.0
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
Second
4060
#17
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End6.1
blue by 2.0
2930
#30
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
Third
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End3.4
red by 8.8
4461
#28
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds10%Capture odds