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Red80
131842.1
292831.3
446119.8
Blue75
366344.5
241229.3
189915.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97910501502002503003504008075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.0
42.142.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End4.6
blue by 2.4
3663
#20
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto8.5
Teleop31.0
End5.0
Second
2928
#13
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
red by 2.1
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Third
4461
#28
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6
red by 4.1
1899
#11
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
25%Capture odds5%Capture odds