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Red81
131842.1
298030.9
321927.2
Blue59
407722.9
413137.8
293031.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105930501502008159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.0
42.142.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End4.6
red by 4.3
4131
#18
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto8.2
Teleop23.4
End6.1
Second
2980
#15
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End4.7
blue by 0.3
2930
#30
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
Third
3219
#14
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
red by 4.2
4077
#16
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
30%Capture odds2%Capture odds