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Red53
580336.8
323845.4
255745.4
Blue151
252234.4
357434.7
241229.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17312305010015020025030035040053151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
red by 10.7
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
Second
2557
#12
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
red by 11.0
2522
#22
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Third
36.80.0
36.836.8
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End11.1
red by 7.5
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4