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Red120
292829.8
420529.1
407725.1
Blue77
49221.8
382633.3
326819.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048940608012014016018012077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.2
28.328.6
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End4.3
blue by 3.5
33.30.1
33.333.3
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End4.3
Second
29.10.2
27.627.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End4.9
red by 7.3
492
#29
21.80.1
21.721.8
Auto2.6
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Third
4077
#19
25.10.2
23.623.8
Auto6.1
Teleop14.8
End4.2
red by 6.1
3268
#30
19.00.1
18.919.0
Auto0.7
Teleop14.7
End3.5