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Red112
491132.7
177828.8
307020.5
Blue111
129426.0
290326.0
418025.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10493406080120140160112111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.3
32.432.7
Auto9.3
Teleop18.0
End5.5
red by 6.8
2903
#10
26.00.3
25.626.0
Auto6.6
Teleop15.2
End4.2
Second
28.80.3
28.428.7
Auto8.0
Teleop16.8
End3.9
red by 2.8
1294
#12
26.00.3
25.626.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.7
End3.3
Third
3070
#31
20.50.3
19.820.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.4
End3.0
blue by 4.5
4180
#21
25.10.3
24.725.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.6
End3.8