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Red60
468321.9
468225.7
574813.4
Blue106
323843.9
465418.4
292829.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions559620408012014060106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.0
22.922.9
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End5.1
blue by 18.2
43.90.6
41.742.3
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End5.1
Second
4683
#11
21.90.0
18.418.4
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End3.9
blue by 8.0
29.80.6
26.226.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End4.3
Third
5748
#34
13.40.0
18.418.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
blue by 5.0
4654
#17
18.41.0
19.520.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned