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Red75
266010.1
549526.5
382633.3
Blue76
49221.8
290730.6
491817.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676750607080907576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.7
30.531.2
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End4.3
red by 2.7
2907
#15
30.60.8
28.128.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End4.4
Second
5495
#20
26.50.7
23.424.1
Auto8.1
Teleop15.4
End3.0
red by 4.8
492
#29
21.80.8
19.119.8
Auto2.6
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Third
2660
#35
10.10.7
10.911.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End0.1
blue by 6.9
4918
#27
17.00.8
17.518.3
Auto3.2
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed