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Red87
366336.7
408925.3
368122.5
Blue85
451225.8
382633.3
290730.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798802040601001201401608785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.3
33.233.5
Auto9.7
Teleop22.1
End4.8
red by 3.4
33.30.3
31.230.9
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End4.3
Second
25.30.3
25.525.7
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End3.6
blue by 5.3
2907
#15
30.60.3
29.629.3
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End4.4
Third
3681
#26
22.50.3
19.519.7
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End2.8
blue by 3.3
4512
#22
25.80.3
23.423.1
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed