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Red74
417326.5
297623.0
298020.2
Blue76
307020.5
129426.0
468225.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71660501001502007476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4173
#28
26.50.4
27.127.5
Auto7.7
Teleop15.1
End3.7
red by 0.6
1294
#12
26.00.7
23.324.1
Auto9.0
Teleop13.7
End3.3
Second
2976
#24
23.00.4
22.522.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.2
End3.2
blue by 2.7
25.70.7
24.325.1
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Third
2980
#33
20.20.7
18.419.1
Auto2.2
Teleop14.0
End3.9
blue by 0.4
3070
#31
20.50.7
17.218.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed