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Red79
56820.4
260524.3
491524.3
Blue105
408925.3
549526.5
129426.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6580204010012014079105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#14
24.30.9
23.324.2
Auto9.1
Teleop12.6
End2.6
blue by 2.2
5495
#20
26.51.3
26.027.3
Auto8.1
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Second
2605
#25
24.30.9
21.522.4
Auto8.1
Teleop12.9
End3.2
blue by 1.7
1294
#12
26.01.3
24.125.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.7
End3.3
Third
568
#32
20.40.9
20.621.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End1.5
blue by 4.9
25.31.3
25.727.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed