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Red85
290730.6
326819.0
406018.7
Blue83
292829.8
366336.7
56820.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64882040801001201408583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#15
30.61.0
29.330.3
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End4.4
blue by 6.1
36.70.3
33.533.2
Auto9.7
Teleop22.1
End4.8
Second
3268
#30
19.01.0
18.319.2
Auto0.7
Teleop14.7
End3.5
blue by 10.9
29.80.3
27.026.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End4.3
Third
4060
#23
18.71.6
18.119.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End3.6
blue by 1.7
568
#32
20.40.3
21.521.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed