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Red60
297623.0
491817.0
290326.0
Blue96
382633.3
94828.5
326819.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50792040601001206096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2903
#10
26.00.2
14.714.9
Auto6.6
Teleop15.2
End4.2
blue by 7.3
33.31.6
28.630.2
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End4.3
Second
2976
#24
23.00.2
21.721.8
Auto4.6
Teleop15.2
End3.2
blue by 5.5
948
#18
28.52.7
28.831.4
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Third
4918
#27
17.00.2
16.316.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.0
End2.8
blue by 2.0
3268
#30
19.01.8
14.816.6
Auto0.7
Teleop14.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsMissed60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed