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Red70
418025.1
307020.5
290730.6
Blue89
290326.0
420529.1
368122.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80682040601001201407089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#15
30.60.4
31.631.2
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End4.4
red by 1.5
29.11.4
25.827.2
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End4.9
Second
4180
#21
25.10.4
25.324.9
Auto7.7
Teleop13.6
End3.8
blue by 0.9
2903
#10
26.01.4
21.623.0
Auto6.6
Teleop15.2
End4.2
Third
3070
#31
20.50.4
19.418.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.4
End3.0
blue by 2.0
3681
#26
22.51.4
20.822.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed