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Red70
292829.8
298020.2
177828.8
Blue102
366336.7
49221.8
549526.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808405010015070102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.6
28.928.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.2
End4.3
blue by 6.8
36.71.4
35.637.0
Auto9.7
Teleop22.1
End4.8
Second
28.80.6
28.828.2
Auto8.0
Teleop16.8
End3.9
red by 2.2
5495
#20
26.51.4
25.226.6
Auto8.1
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Third
2980
#33
20.20.6
20.820.2
Auto2.2
Teleop14.0
End3.9
blue by 1.6
492
#29
21.81.4
20.321.7
Auto2.6
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed