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Qual 152016 Peak Performance
Red96
468119.8
580337.5
321927.2
Blue109
445032.9
252234.4
255745.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8112205010015020096109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5803
#8
37.50.0
37.5→37.5
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End10.8
blue by 7.9
2557
#4
45.40.0
45.4→45.4
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
Second
3219
#11
27.20.0
27.2→27.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
blue by 7.3
2522
#7
34.40.0
34.4→34.4
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Third
4681
#16
19.80.0
19.8→19.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End2.3
blue by 13.1
4450
#3
32.90.0
32.9→32.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
9%Capture odds38%Capture odds