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Red72
321927.2
445032.9
322326.7
Blue106
491137.2
580337.5
293031.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8511305010015020072106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
blue by 4.6
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End10.8
Second
3219
#11
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
blue by 10.1
37.20.0
37.237.2
Auto10.7
Teleop21.5
End5.0
Third
3223
#17
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
blue by 4.5
2930
#13
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
13%Capture odds49%Capture odds