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Red62
322326.7
580337.5
252234.4
Blue82
491137.2
129426.0
281129.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103940501502006282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End10.8
red by 0.3
37.20.0
37.237.2
Auto10.7
Teleop21.5
End5.0
Second
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
red by 5.2
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End5.0
Third
3223
#17
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
red by 0.7
1294
#14
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
29%Capture odds16%Capture odds