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Red115
36049.5
491137.2
323845.4
Blue105
94831.3
445032.9
293031.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188108050150250300350115105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#12
49.50.0
49.549.5
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End5.8
red by 16.6
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
Second
3238
#15
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
red by 14.1
948
#5
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
Third
37.20.0
37.237.2
Auto10.7
Teleop21.5
End5.0
red by 6.0
2930
#13
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5