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Red42
214821.6
592031.3
192011.4
Blue19
546113.8
294428.9
306131.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647802003004005004219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End5.4
blue by 0.2
3061
#12
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Second
2148
#11
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End2.6
blue by 7.3
2944
#14
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End4.1
Third
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End0.6
blue by 2.4
13.80.0
13.813.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach odds78%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds