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Red59
294428.9
498036.1
592031.3
Blue70
159536.4
406137.6
607616.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100920501502005970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4980
#13
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
blue by 1.6
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
Second
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End5.4
blue by 5.0
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
Third
2944
#14
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End4.1
red by 12.7
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds17%Capture odds