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Red104
491131.6
382628.6
420523.0
Blue59
407721.5
430922.4
418020.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11082406010012014016010459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.0
32.132.1
Auto7.2
Teleop18.8
End5.6
red by 9.2
4309
#10
22.40.3
22.722.4
Auto9.0
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Second
28.60.0
29.029.0
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End4.4
red by 7.0
4077
#13
21.50.3
21.821.5
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Third
4205
#14
23.00.0
23.523.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End5.0
red by 2.4
4180
#24
20.60.3
20.820.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End2.7