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Red99
582715.2
322326.8
408920.8
Blue89
177822.0
292824.2
468118.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758302040601001201401609989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.4
26.426.8
Auto10.2
Teleop11.1
End5.5
red by 2.6
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Second
4089
#22
20.80.4
20.420.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End3.5
blue by 1.2
1778
#30
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto3.4
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Third
5827
#28
15.20.4
14.715.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.6
End-0.1
blue by 3.1
4681
#23
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End2.8