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Red54
307012.3
368418.8
468318.5
Blue30
430922.4
368113.1
292824.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4458020801005430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3684
#25
18.81.0
16.717.7
Auto2.8
Teleop14.1
End1.9
blue by 5.3
24.22.7
21.518.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Second
4683
#19
18.51.0
13.314.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End3.3
blue by 3.9
4309
#10
22.42.7
22.119.4
Auto9.0
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Third
3070
#34
12.31.0
14.915.9
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End1.4
blue by 0.8
3681
#37
13.12.7
10.88.1
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed