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Red45
403015.9
468221.4
491521.3
Blue57
368418.8
407721.5
326814.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61502040801001204557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4682
#27
21.41.4
15.714.2
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End4.7
blue by 0.2
4077
#13
21.50.8
16.617.4
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Second
4915
#33
21.31.4
24.322.9
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End3.1
red by 2.5
3684
#25
18.80.8
17.718.5
Auto2.8
Teleop14.1
End1.9
Third
4030
#17
15.91.4
17.916.5
Auto1.5
Teleop10.8
End3.5
red by 1.1
3268
#32
14.80.8
15.816.5
Auto0.9
Teleop10.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed