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Red54
408920.8
290314.7
549522.4
Blue93
291023.1
241222.3
366334.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57702040801001205493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5495
#20
22.40.4
21.220.9
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End3.6
blue by 11.8
34.21.1
35.336.4
Auto6.8
Teleop22.1
End5.3
Second
4089
#22
20.80.4
19.018.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End3.5
blue by 2.2
2910
#15
23.11.8
16.718.5
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End4.4
Third
2903
#31
14.70.4
17.016.6
Auto1.8
Teleop11.6
End1.3
blue by 7.6
22.31.8
14.416.3
Auto0.2
Teleop19.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned