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Red20
549522.4
418020.6
56819.4
Blue39
468221.4
382628.6
326814.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615601001502002503003504002039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5495
#20
22.44.3
22.217.9
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End3.6
blue by 6.1
28.61.8
20.218.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End4.4
Second
4180
#24
20.64.3
17.212.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End2.7
blue by 0.8
4682
#27
21.41.8
17.015.2
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End4.7
Third
568
#29
19.44.3
19.415.1
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End2.9
red by 4.7
3268
#32
14.81.8
18.016.2
Auto0.9
Teleop10.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed